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Italy Likely Not Going for a Constitutional Reform

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The public opinion polls in Italy before its referendum in December exhibited results pursuing the blockage of constitutional reform in the country.

The “No” answer is in the lead as shown by four polls last Friday, which has been the trend for previous weeks.

As of Saturday, suspension of publishing public opinion polls on the referendum on December 4 will be implemented. The act would be considered illegal.

Matteo Renzi, Prime Minister of Italy, stated that he will quit once the votes rejected the restructuring of the constitution. According to Renzi, the constitutional changes will streamline the government decisions in the country.

Nonetheless, there are concerns that Renzi leaving the position could actuate upheaval in the European Union, which is already in a fistfight with the recent Brexit. It is true that the constitutional reform may bring efficiency and stability in Italian politics. However, people preferred to release their frustration against the Prime Minister by rejecting the reform.

According to RAI3 Television, an estimated 62 percent of the Italians stated that they will vote, whereas 27 percent will not. The remaining 11 percent do not know whether to vote or not. The Ixe-led poll was conducted on November 16 for Agora-Rai3 television program.

Italy Likely Not Going for Constitutional Reform

Source: Bloomberg


The “Yes” vote remained unaltered from the prior week standing at 37 percent. The “No” vote is now at 42 percent, a two percent increment from the previous record of 40 percent. The survey encompasses 1,000 potential votes in the country with a plus/minus 3.1 percent margin of error.

The poll conducted for newspaper La Repubblica by Demos & Pi considered 1,231 respondents from November 14 to 16. The results showed the gap between “Yes” and “No” increased from October. “Yes” stands at 34 percent, whereas “No” is at 41 percent. The undecided team occupied the 25 percent of the totality. The margin of error for this survey was plus/minus 3.1 percent.

“No” answer is still leading by eight points according to La Stampa. The poll for the newspaper was conducted by Istituto Piepoli on November 14 and composed of 500 interviews. The 54 percent of the answers pointed to “No”, whereas 46 percent said yes to the survey. There is no margin of error indicated by the poll conductor.

Corriere della Sera showed 55 percent of the interviewed people will reject the reform. Meanwhile, 45 percent would support the referendum. Ipsos conducted the poll for the newspaper between November 14 and 15 involving 997 people. Roughly a third of the population had only heard of the planned reform without further details. No margin of error was disclosed concerning this poll.

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